内容:
ANRPC表示,预计2018年全球天然橡胶产出增加6.1%至1415万吨,消费增加6.9%至1430万吨,供给与需求保持平衡。与此同时,对贸易战的担忧及对美联储利率政策的进一步改变的担心令天然橡胶市场承压。
原文:
Trade-war: Uncertainties prevail in NR market, says ANRPC
Jun 26, 2018
Trade-war: Uncertainties prevail in NR market, says ANRPC
The concerns over widening trade-war issues and the potential further revisions of policy interest rates by the US Federal Reserve keep sentiments down in most of the Asian commodities and natural rubber is no exception, said Dr Nguyen Ngoc Bich, Secretary-General, Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC). He added that the natural rubber market remains clouded by uncertainties largely due to factors external to the sector. He expressed his views in the Natural Rubber Trends and Statistics report by ANRPC in May 2018.
The world consumption of natural rubber increased by 6.2 percent, year-over-year, to 5.822 million tonnes during the period from January to May 2018. During the same period, the world supply rose 7.7 percent, year-over-year, to 5.252 million tonnes, the report said.
“These figures reveal that the production has fallen short of the consumption by 570,000 tonnes during the first five months of the current year. This has helped to partly absorb the excess availability in the market. During the year 2018, the world production is anticipated to increase by 6.1 percent to 14.150 million tonnes and the world
consumption to increase from 6.9 percent to 14.300 million tonnes. The emerging scenario suggests a balanced demand-supply situation during 2018,” said Dr Nguyen.
Although the period from the end of April has witnessed a sharp rally in crude oil prices, it failed to fuel a corresponding uptrend in natural rubber market, the report said.
Rubber prices performed marginally better during May 2018 as compared to April 2018. The marginal recovery was partly helped by the devaluation of Japanese yen which had a positive impact on the rubber futures at TOCOM.
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